WUWT: Smoking gun at Darwin Zero

8 December, 2009 by

Not had a chance to review in detail, but an interesting post at Watts Up With That on temperature records at Darwin Airport. But this quote is very interesting:

“Those, dear friends, are the clumsy fingerprints of someone messing with the data Egyptian style … they are indisputable evidence that the “homogenized” data has been changed to fit someone’s preconceptions about whether the earth is warming.”

Read it here.

UPDATE: For the first time that I can remember on WUWT, Anthony has made this story a “sticky”:

I feel this story of irrational data adjustment is so important, that I’m giving it a sticky at the top so it doesn’t get buried in the other stories.

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OMG! Al Gore writes climate poem

8 December, 2009 by

Failed politician writes dire poem about climate change = front page news. Try not to puke when you read the Goracle’s attempts at literature:

One thin September soon
A floating continent disappears
In midnight sun

Vapors rise as
Fever settles on an acid sea
Neptune’s bones dissolve

Snow glides from the mountain
Ice fathers floods for a season
A hard rain comes quickly

Then dirt is parched
Kindling is placed in the forest
For the lightning’s celebration

Unknown creatures
Take their leave, unmourned
Horsemen ready their stirrups

Passion seeks heroes and friends
The bell of the city
On the hill is rung

The shepherd cries
The hour of choosing has arrived
Here are your tools (source)

The debate is over: Al Gore is a freaking awful poet.

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Bob Carter: "Kill the IPCC"

8 December, 2009 by

Bob Carter

Bob Carter

Essential reading from climate realist Bob Carter:

The IPCC is the official UN body that has presided over this fiasco. It is an organisation that was specifically set up to provide advice to national governments (including Australia’s) for their use in setting climate policy. The IPCC’s incompetence is manifest in its failure to detect the corrupt science that has for so long permeated the activities of the international jetsetters of the climate science power group. The organisation should be closed down (without tears), and the Copenhagen COP-15 meeting would be a good place to start this process happening.

That the global warming scare should turn out to be precisely the scam that climate rationalists have been banging on about for years is shocking enough; many future PhD theses and books will undoubtedly be written about it. Yet it is but the tip of the iceberg so far as the public prostitution of science is concerned. Climategate being currently in full swing, the obvious question is when (not if) the parallel Reefgate, Murraygate and Fishgate scandals will erupt in Australia?

Read it here.

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Copenhagen opening video: pure emotional blackmail

8 December, 2009 by

Let’s just get this straight. The delegates at COP15 in Copenhagen are aiming to agree reductions in global emissions that will make one of the most significant changes to our economy in centuries, and which will have devastating effects on economies the world over, and yet how do they start off the conference? Not as they should have done with cool-headed analyses of the facts and science, but with a sickening example of emotional blackmail.

Children were the focus at the opening. The launch began with a video showing a young girl having a nightmare about global warming. She watched her playground turn into a desert wasteland, and screamed as she battled terrifying floods. (source)

Here is the video – watch it in full:

More than anything else, this video encapsulates everything you need to know about Copenhagen. It is nothing more than a desperate environmental crusade and a political circus. Nothing, especially the science, will stop it.

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Quote of the Day: Danish Speaker of Parliament

8 December, 2009 by

Cool-headed

Cool-headed

While the rest of Copenhagen is running round in ever decreasing circles of alarmism and hysteria, it is refreshing that the Speaker of the Danish parliament has some cool-headed words of wisdom:

“The problem is that lots of people go around saying that the climate change we see is a result of human activity. That is a very dangerous claim,” Parliamentary Speaker and former Finance Minister Thor Pedersen (Lib) tells DR.

“Unfortunately I seem to experience that scientists say: ‘We have a theory’ – then that crosses the road to the politicians who say: ‘We know’. Who can be bothered to hear a scientist who says ‘I have a theory’ when politicians go around saying ‘I know’” Thor Pedersen says.

Thor Pedersen adds that the temperature has not risen in the past decade.

“I’m not saying that in the decade that the temperature has fallen or stagnated is enough to evaluate developments. But one should only say what one knows,” the Speaker adds.

“You should say that although we believed in our models, that the temperature would rise from 1998 to 2008, we have to admit that it has not risen. We cannot explain why it has not risen, but we believe we still have a problem. I’m just asking that people say what they actually know,” Pedersen tells DR.

If climate scientists and politicians did that, the world would be a far better place.

Read it here (h/t Climate Change Fraud)

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US Environment Protection Agency to declare CO2 "dangerous pollutant"

8 December, 2009 by

Stop polluting the environment

Stop polluting the environment

Now let’s just analyse the utter insanity of this. Carbon dioxide is the harmless trace gas that is essential for plants (and indeed all life on earth to survive), and which we all breathe out. And the EPA will declare this a “dangerous pollutant”? The world is truly mad. Here’s an extract from the press release:

After a thorough examination of the scientific evidence and careful consideration of public comments, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) announced today that greenhouse gases (GHGs) threaten the public health and welfare of the American people. EPA also finds that GHG emissions from on-road vehicles contribute to that threat.

GHGs are the primary driver of climate change, which can lead to hotter, longer heat waves that threaten the health of the sick, poor or elderly; increases in ground-level ozone pollution linked to asthma and other respiratory illnesses; as well as other threats to the health and welfare of Americans.

“These long-overdue findings cement 2009’s place in history as the year when the United States Government began addressing the challenge of greenhouse-gas pollution and seizing the opportunity of clean-energy reform,” said EPA Administrator Lisa P. Jackson. “Business leaders, security experts, government officials, concerned citizens and the United States Supreme Court have called for enduring, pragmatic solutions to reduce the greenhouse gas pollution that is causing climate change. This continues our work towards clean energy reform that will cut GHGs and reduce the dependence on foreign oil that threatens our national security and our economy.” (source)

So it’s nothing to do with reducing pollution in the environment at all, but “tackling climate change”. And the real reason behind all this is that the EPA can now regulate those gases without any further need for Congress to approve legislation. And believe me, they will.

Maybe they should declare water vapour a dangerous pollutant as well – it’s a far stronger greenhouse gas than CO2. No, wait, you can’t tax and regulate that can you? So don’t bother.

Pure climate madness.

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Copenhagen – Day 1

8 December, 2009 by

Day 1

Day 1

We’re up and running at Copenhagen, and already, Australia has taken centre stage – for the wrong reason (or the right reason, depending on how you view it):

THE head of the world’s top climate research body has compared Tony Abbott to former US president and climate sceptic George W. Bush and conceded the failure of Australia’s cap and trade carbon bill has given momentum to climate naysayers worldwide. [“Naysayers”? Oh, please – Ed]

In an exclusive interview with The Australian just hours before he was to deliver the keynote address on the opening day of the Copenhagen global climate summit, Rajendra Pachauri denied the defeat of the legislation would provide enough impetus to derail negotiators at Copenhagen from delivering an agreement.

…

“It seems to me the Australian public is fully committed to taking action because Australia is probably one country that has suffered from the impacts of climate change more than any other,” Dr Pachauri said from Denmark. [Nonsense, of course, but we all know Pachauri can say anything and never be challenged – Ed]

“(Climate sceptics) will get momentum from time to time but they are certainly a minority so I don’t see in a democracy how they would succeed. [Those by-election results weren’t too bad – Ed]

“I think as long as Kevin Rudd is the Prime Minister of the government in power and he wants to move in a particular direction the country will rally around the PM.” [Don’t you bet on it – Ed] (source)

And whatever happens at Copenhagen, it won’t be enough to satisfy the global socialists:

The head of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Rajendra Pachauri, told The Australian the $US10 billion package expected to be discussed during the 12-day summit was a “positive move and would create some degree of satisfaction among developing countries”.

“But it’s not going far enough,” he added, saying “serious work” was still required to deliver adequate assistance to the most vulnerable developing nations.

The European Commission has estimated that wealthy nations will need to provide as much as $US50bn a year to help poor nations develop cleaner technologies and mitigate the worst effects of global warming. (source)

Believe me, that will only be the start. We’ve already had demands from Central America for way more than that – it will be a blank cheque. Terry McCrann has the antidote to all this:

COPENHAGEN is going to be two weeks of insane hysteria. Just like the Olympics, but with lots of snow, courtesy of Al Gore and his ‘Gore Effect.’

There’ll be another major difference. This will be like the Olympics with only one country represented. All 40,000-plus attendees will be batting for the same side, so to speak.

We are going to be deluged with wall-to-wall coverage of hysterical end-of-the-world claims unless we hand over billions of dollars a year, every year, and close down our economy.

This really is the ultimate gift that keeps on taking. Give us the money to fight climate change; and as the climate changes every year, the funding has to be permanent.

Gets hotter? Climate change. Gets colder? Climate change. Stays pretty much the same? Now, that’s the really insidious climate change!

Read it all!

UPDATE: Looks like things may already be turning pear-shaped, after just one day:

Climate talks in Copenhagen have opened with a declaration that the 12 days of negotiations represent an historic opportunity for the world, but deep divisions between delegates have already emerged.

The representative of the developing world says the amount of money set aside to help poor nations adapt to climate change is an insult, and Saudi Arabia’s chief negotiator has raised issues about the validity of the scientific research used to justify claims that global warming is man-made. (source)

It looks like a roller-coaster ride ahead.

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Nauseating start to Copenhagen

7 December, 2009 by

Loving every second of it

Loving every second of it

Wouldn’t have expected anything less, naturally! All lovingly reported by the Sydney Moonbat Herald:

A landmark conference on tackling climate change opened here on Monday, with negotiators from 192 countries aiming toward a deal to ward off global warming’s potentially catastrophic effects.

The meeting will climax on December 18 with more than 100 heads of state or government in attendance.

Opening ceremonies began with a short film featuring children of the future facing an apocalypse of tempests and desert landscapes if world leaders failed to act today.

“There will be hundreds of millions of refugees,” Rajendra Pachauri, head of the UN’s panel of climate scientists, said in the film.

“Please help save the world,” said a little girl, plaintively. (source)

So no emotional blackmail there, obviously…

It’s only been going three hours, and already I want it to stop.

Don’t forget to check out the Cut out ‘n’ keep guide to Copenhagen in the sidebar!

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Full speed for an alarmism week

7 December, 2009 by

Nice Bristols

Nice Bristols*

The other thing that we should expect in the next 11 days is full on climate hysteria, with apocalyptic predictions, everything “happening faster, bigger, badder than we thought”. But now we can take it all with a pinch of salt, since in this post-CRU world, we give our climate scientists even less leeway than they had before. The latest scare is that the climate is “more sensitive than previously thought” to CO2, so we need even deeper, harsher, bigger and badder cuts.

From our “The Science is Settled” department:

In the long term, the Earth’s temperature may be 30-50 per cent more sensitive to atmospheric carbon dioxide than has previously been estimated, reports a new study published in Nature Geoscience this week.

The results show that components of the Earth’s climate system that vary over long timescales – such as land-ice and vegetation – have an important effect on this temperature sensitivity, but these factors are often neglected in current climate models.

Dr Dan Lunt, from the University of Bristol, and colleagues compared results from a global climate model to temperature reconstructions of the Earth’s environment three million years ago when global temperatures and carbon dioxide concentrations were relatively high. The temperature reconstructions were derived using data from three-million-year-old sediments on the ocean floor.

Lunt said, “We found that, given the concentrations of carbon dioxide prevailing three million years ago, the model originally predicted a significantly smaller temperature increase than that indicated by the reconstructions. This led us to review what was missing from the model.”

But, but, but… our models are perfect, aren’t they? They must be – the planet is about to spend trillions of dollars based on their output. But not to worry. Results of climate research never say “it’s not as bad as we thought” or “we may have overestimated this.” What are the chances of every piece of research always saying it’s worse? And of course, the inevitable call to action:

Alan Haywood, a co-author on the study from the University of Leeds, said “If we want to avoid dangerous climate change, this high sensitivity of the Earth to carbon dioxide should be taken into account when defining targets for the long-term stabilisation of atmospheric greenhouse-gas concentrations”.

This is all about feedbacks of course. The actual warming effect of a doubling of CO2 is virtually nothing, but the models rely on fudge factors in the feedbacks in order to make the models fit what has already happened in the past. However, because this leads to huge positive feedbacks, temperature projections go through the roof for a modest increase in CO2. The fact is that no climate scientist understands the feedbacks, because there are still thousands of unknowns or unquantifiables (despite Kevin Rudd and Gordon Brown telling us all “the science is settled”), which means the models don’t either, and the results are close to worthless.

Read it here.

*Cockney rhyming slang: Bristol Cities – t*tties.

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Two hours to Copenhagen

7 December, 2009 by

Roaring trade until 18 December

Roaring trade until 18 December

OK, I can’t put it off any longer. Yes, the biggest climate gab-fest in the history of the planet is set to kick off in a little under two hours. All the delegates have arrived in Copenhagen, checked in to their seedy little hotels, and have been issued maps to the Red Light district. After the daily tedium of climate change negotiations, we can be sure the local ladies of the night will do a roaring trade!

So what’s the point of all this? There won’t be any binding treaty, as that was chucked in the dumpster a couple of weeks ago, so it will be an expression of wishes at best.

China and India are only prepared to reduce “carbon intensity” which is emissions per unit of GDP, so their emissions will still increase rapidly, just a little bit more slowly than otherwise (because, let’s be honest, China and India are far more interested in economic growth than worrying about fixing a non-problem). The UK has already passed crippling laws that call for an 80% absolute reduction in emissions by 2050 – good luck with that. The US has the Waxman-Markey bill stalled by the Senate, and nothing much else apart from Obama’s platitudes.

And then of course there’s us Aussies, who have made headline news around the world by becoming the first country to see a leader of a major political party elected precisely because he is a sceptic. Go Aussie!

So what can we really expect? There will be a great deal of pontificating from the usual suspects: Pachauri, Obama, De Boer, Rudd, Brown etc etc. There will no doubt be stirring speeches about the fact that we have only [2] [5] [10] [20] [50] years to save the planet (insert appropriate figure). There will be acres of news coverage from Fairfax, which will try spin every announcement into something positive and encouraging. Unfortunately, however, there will almost certainly be no deal, and if we’re lucky, the whole thing may descend into farce and recrimination.

But, as my late uncle always used to remind me, “You can’t polish a turd.”

Strap yourselves in for the ride. Let’s pray for snow (maximum forecast for Friday: 2˚C).

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