It gets worse: Labor 39 – Coalition 61

We're not laughing…

Could it get any worse? Apparently, yes. It’s like watching an aged relative die a slow and painful death. The time has come for Labor backbenchers to put this government out of its misery, show that they still have some principles, and withdraw support.

It won’t happen of course, because they are all driven by petty self-interest rather than what is best for the country, but it’s a nice thought:

THE government has flatlined, personal support for Julia Gillard has plunged and Tony Abbott is by far the nation’s favoured leader, according to the first comprehensive national poll taken since the release of the carbon price policy.

After a week of fevered campaigning by both leaders, the Herald/Nielsen poll shows Labor’s primary vote has hit a new record low of 26 per cent while Mr Abbott has opened up an 11-percentage point lead on Ms Gillard as the preferred prime minister.

And despite the generous compensation package accompanying the carbon price, 53 per cent of voters feel they will be worse off.

Previous low levels of support for the policy have not changed, with 39 per cent backing the package and 52 per cent opposing it. More than half – 56 per cent – want a fresh election.

Although Ms Gillard had told the caucus not to expect any short-term rise in the polls after the release of the policy details, this poll was being watched closely by many MPs hoping for some positive response to the $15 billion compensation package.

The telephone poll of 1400 voters, taken from Thursday night to Saturday evening, shows Labor’s primary vote fell 1 point to 26 per cent since the last poll a month ago. The Coalition’s primary vote rose 2 points to 51 per cent, and the Greens fell 1 point to 11 per cent.

On a two-party-preferred basis, the Coalition leads by a thumping 61 per cent to 39 per cent, a 4-point rise in its lead in a month and an 11-point swing towards the opposition since the federal election in August.

While Labor’s vote stayed depressed, Ms Gillard’s personal rating plunged further and, for the first time, Mr Abbott is the preferred prime minister.

In the last poll, the Opposition Leader and Ms Gillard were tied at 46 per cent, but in this poll, Mr Abbott’s rating rose 5 points to 51 per cent while Ms Gillard’s fell 6 points to 40 per cent. (source)

Glenn Milne in The Australian analyses the fix Labor finds itself in:

The sullen rejection of the tax by ordinary voters, fed by the Opposition Leader’s furious onslaught and enabled by the government’s strategic blunder in announcing the tax without details, then leaving a political vacuum for months for the Coalition to fill, appears instead to have simply become embedded.

Gillard’s window of opportunity to dismantle Abbott’s campaign is fast closing, if it hasn’t already.

In a 24/7 media cycle attention has already begin to wane. By Saturday the carbon tax had been pushed off or down page one of the broadsheets. The tabloids had abandoned it. What dominated was Westpac’s prediction the next official interest rate move could be a cut. It’s now hard to see how Gillard re-engages on the issue, how she gets the interest back of voters who have already emphatically rejected the tax.

Ironically the interest rate story is probably a clue to her problems. In light of the threatened GFC aftershock in Europe and the US, which has helped drive a collapse in consumer confidence here, it’s hard to escape the conclusion that what the electorate wants is a government that will get our two-speed economy back on track. Instead Gillard’s solution is to load them up with a new tax.

One of the most important push factors behind this sentiment, surely, is the fact that even with this carbon tax Australia’s overall emissions won’t be reduced.

And that’s not even to go to the argument that our paltry contribution to cutting greenhouse gasses will still be overwhelmed by the unrestrained belching of the major emitters, the US, China and India.

Voters assess something is amiss here, leading to Abbott’s killer line last week: “What’s the point?” (source)

Read it all.


  1. I have another song for Julia, namely ‘BOOTS’

    You keep saying you’ve got something for me.
    something you call love, but confess.
    You’ve been a messin’ where you shouldn’t have been a messin’
    and now someone else is gettin’ all your best.

    These boots are made for walking, and that’s just what they’ll do
    one of these days these boots are gonna walk all over you.

    You keep lying, when you oughta be truthin’
    and you keep losin’ when you oughta not bet.
    You keep samin’ when you oughta be a changin’.
    Now what’s right is right, but you ain’t been right yet.

    These boots are made for walking, and that’s just what they’ll do
    one of these days these boots are gonna walk all over you.

    You keep playin’ where you shouldn’t be a playin
    and you keep thinkin’ that you´ll never get burnt.
    I just found me a brand new box of matches yeah
    and what he knows you ain’t HAD time to learn.

    These boots are made for walking, and that’s just what they’ll do
    one of these days these boots are gonna walk all over you.

    Are you ready boots? Start walkin’!

    What is interesting is that we have some kind of sign here because the writer of Boots was Lee Hazlewood.

    Lee also wrote, and sang, in his LP album “Trouble is a Lonesome Town”.

    It sure is for Julia. She had no friends when she visited Hazelwood Power Station.

  2. The Loaded Dog says:

    No no, I won’t have it.

    Julia Keneally….err sorry Gillard will be able to turn this around.

    She’s an accomplished liar…..err sorry what I meant to say was negotiator.

  3. Joe Veragio says:

    Clearly Juliar must be serving some greater power than her electorate, which has now been cast aside, in pursuit of some greater glory., whatever it be. Is she really hostage to a mis-placed belief in the ‘science’, or is it something else ?

  4. Baldrick says:

    Left leaning journalists and commentators can argue as much as they like that Julia didn’t lie to the electorate when she said “no carbon tax under the government I lead”. Whether you believe them or not is irrelevant – public perception is what matters in politics and the public perception is that she lied.

    The Australian electorate are more politically savvy these days and won’t forgive any politician that breaks promises, particularly a promise that she used to gain the Prime Ministership by making a deal with the Greens.

  5. Mervyn Sullivan says:

    The Labor Party has yet to learn a lesson … to listen to the people.

    There is no point losing an election and then telling voters that the Labor Party has learnt its lesson… it did not listen to the people, and in future it must listen to the people.

    The fact is Julia Gillard has lost the support of the Australian people. People no longer trust her, they do not like her patronizing ways as though we are stupid, and people are simply no longer listening to her. It has come to that.

  6. “It gets worse: Labor 39 – Coalition 61”

    How could this be “worse“?? Out here in Nirvana we’ve started chilling the champagne. Surely if Mad Julia gets the chop, this has to be “better”.


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