If there were no agenda of global warming, there would be no need for comments like those of David Jones, reported in The Australian today.
The fact that a senior Bureau meteorologist believes it necessary to defend model projections that the planet will continue to warm, despite two cooler years (and a relatively flat global temperature profile for the last decade), reveals the motivations at work behind the scenes.
Environment editor at The Australian, Graham Lloyd, doesn’t help to dispel this impression, and warns “those looking to disprove climate change” that the planet is still warming [er, who’s trying to “disprove climate change” again?].
“In 2011, the La Nina and heavy rainfall acted like an evaporative cooler for Australia,” said bureau climate change spokesman David Jones.
“The year 2010 was relatively cool in recent historical context and 2011 was cooler again.”
Mr Jones said there was no evidence to link the strong La Nina weather systems with changing global temperatures.
“We have had this regular cycle of La Nina and El Nino,” he said. “The strongest El Nino on record was in 1997 and we have seen one of the strongest La Ninas on record in 2010-11.”
Mr Jones said the climate science was not very clear on what would happen with El Nino and La Nina patterns, particularly at this early stage of global warming.
“We have only seen one degree of warming so far but we will see substantially more as we move through the century, but it is probably too early to draw any concrete relationship between hotter temperatures and La Nina,” he said.
“One simple thing we can say is we know La Nina are historically cooler for Australia but there is a big difference between variability and climate change.”
The BOM climate statement said Australia’s mean rainfall total for last year was 699mm, which was 234mm above the long-term average of 465mm, making it the third-wettest year since comparable records began in 1900.
Where’s Tim Flannery when you need him to explain all his failed predictions of a never-ending drought?
The Australian area averaged mean temperature was 0.14C below the 1961-1990 average of 21.81C. Last year, maximum temperatures averaged 0.25C below normal across the country, while minimum temperatures averaged 0.03C below normal.
And then Jones goes into full prickly defensive mode:
“Despite the slightly cooler conditions, the country’s 10-year average continues to demonstrate the rising trend in temperatures, with 2002-2011 likely to rank in the top two warmest 10-year periods on record for Australia, at 0.52C above the long-term average,” the bureau said.
“If you are interested in determining whether the planet is warming, you look at the global temperature,” Mr Jones said. (source)
And if you look at global temperatures for the last decade, there isn’t much warming to see there either.
If the BoM hadn’t sold out to climate alarmism, there wouldn’t be any need for such awkward justifications.