John Cook’s 97% is, quite frankly, bullshit. A simple statistic by, for and on behalf of, the simple minded, to be bandied about as often as possible, hoping that no-one actually bothers to enquire what it means.
And relying on the old adage that a lie, repeated often enough, will eventually become the truth. “97% of climate scientists agree that… [insert assertion here]” is a big heavy weapon used to beat dissenters around the head.
As always, however, the reality is vastly different. What do they agree on?
- That CO2 is a greenhouse gas?
- That emissions have increased since the Industrial Revolution?
- That temperatures have increased in the same period? If that’s the case, then I’m in the 97%.
- Is it also that man has caused some proportion of that warming? If yes, then I’m still in. It’s only when you get to the next level that things fall apart.
- Has man caused the majority of the warming since the 19th Century? Probably out on this one
- Is the warming dangerous? I’m definitely out here.
So at what point was Cook’s 97% measured? After point 3? Or 4? Or 6? Joe Bast and Roy Spencer go into it here, but really, who cares? Science isn’t done by a show of hands, so not only are Cook’s results bullshit, but the whole premise of the study is bullshit too. As Einstein famously said, why get a hundred scientists to diss me when one motherfuckin’ fact would do, bro? (I’m paraphrasing here.) I just happened to be watching a YouTube clip from the excellent channel Veritasium, when the presenter said:
“That is what is so important about the scientific method. We set out to disprove our theories, and it’s when we can’t disprove them we say this must be getting at something really true about our reality. So I think we should do that in all aspects of our lives. If you think that something is true, you should try as hard as you can to disprove it. Only then can you really get at the truth and not fool yourself.”
And that is the fundamental message for all the climate zealots out there. Try as hard as you can to disprove your beloved AGW hypotheses. Do precisely the opposite of what Cook and his Un-Skeptical mates have done here, i.e. surrounded themselves with like-minded folk and never allowed any dissent to creep in, genuflecting at the altar of warmism and offering up sacrifices to please the almighty Greenhouse God. If governments and academic institutions really wanted to seek out answers, they would be throwing a bucket load of cash at research to try to show that the AGW hypothesis is flawed. If it stood up to an assault of that magnitude, then you bet I’d be on board too. Dancing around, handling the issue with kid gloves, desperate not to scratch the surface too deeply for fear of what might be hidden underneath, that’s just delusional. Only when you try hard to disprove your theories can you get to the truth … and not fool yourself. Watch the whole thing (it’s very interesting), but the quote is here.