Gillard calls election – climate in "top three" policy areas


Dancing to the tune of the faceless factions

Refreshed thanks to a week away from the grinding moonbattery of climate alarmism, the news that Julia Gillard has called an election will focus people’s minds on climate again. The fact that the election is so soon after her “Night of the Long Knives” demonstrates, to this writer at least, that Gillard is running scared, knowing that if she leaves it any longer, her popularity will sink further and there’s less chance of a victory. She must think we’re stupid, frankly.

Anyway, the ABC reports that climate will be a “key election issue”, although having abandoned the ETS and any chance of a carbon tax, what does that mean, exactly?

Labor’s support dropped in the opinion polls earlier this year when it announced it was shelving the emissions trading scheme.

But Ms Gillard says she will unveil new policies during the campaign.

She also delivered a veiled swipe at Federal Opposition Leader Tony Abbott over the issue. [Because no Labor politician can say anything without having a veiled swipe at the Opposition. A sure sign that their own policies aren’t worth listening to.]

“What I can say very clearly and guarantee for you that as we announce those policies, my policies, they will be policies coming from a person who believes climate change is real, who believes it’s caused by human activity and who has never equivocated in that belief,” she said.

But Mr Abbott says the Government’s climate change policy will hurt Australians’ standard of living.

“The Coalition and only the Coalition has a clear policy to deal with it,” he said.

“Julia Gillard will talk to you about a carbon price, but she won’t actually establish how she’ll get it, what it will be and how much it’s going to raise the cost of everyday living.”

And the Greens think their time has come, holding the balance of power after a hung parliament. Please, please, please, people of Australia, don’t let that happen.

Read it here. Watch the Liberals’ puppet string advert here.

Break from blogging


ACM is taking a short break from blogging, and from having to engage my brain 24/7 with climate alarmists, ecotards, idiotic MSM journalists, Al Gore and other unsavoury topics. It’ll all still be here when I get back, sadly!

In the mean time, enjoy the posts in the Blog Roll to the right!

Amazongate – the final word?


Source of the Amazon(gate)

I have been avoiding posting on this until there seemed to be a conclusion to the yo-yo-ing back and forth. Firstly, Christopher Booker and Richard North alleged the claim that a large proportion of the Amazon was sensitive to changes in rainfall was based on non-peer-reviewed documents from the advocacy group WWF. The claim was repeated in The Sunday Times (no link). Then, a week or so ago, George Monbiot, in his Guardian column, crowed that North was wrong and the IPCC was justified in making the claim, and The Sunday Times retracted its article. Various “handbags at ten paces” ensued.

Now it appears that the IPCC claim was based on non-peer-reviewed material, as Christopher Booker reports:

Last week, after six months of evasions, obfuscation, denials and retractions, a story which has preoccupied this column on and off since January came to a startling conclusion. It turns out that one of the most widely publicised statements in the 2007 report of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change – a claim on which tens of billions of dollars could hang – was not based on peer-reviewed science, as repeatedly claimed, but originated solely from anonymous propaganda published on the website of a small Brazilian environmental advocacy group.

Second, it raises hefty question marks over the credibility of the world’s richest and most powerful environmental pressure group, the WWF, credited by the IPCC as the source of its unsupported claim.

And third, it focuses attention once more on a bizarre scheme, backed by the UN and promoted by the World Bank, whereby the WWF has been hoping to share in profits estimated at $60 billion, paid for by firms all over the developed world.

We await the retraction of the retraction from The Sunday Times, and the apology from Monbiot [some hope].

Read it here.

Climategate – just a "storm in a teacup"


Nothing to see here

So writes Geoffrey Lean in The Telegraph (UK), who thinks that three coats of whitewash is enough to cover up the fudging of data, destruction of emails and corruption of the peer-review process revealed by the Climategate emails:

The result of Sir Muir Russell’s inquiry had been widely predicted – both by those who have long known that there was no evidence of scientific malpractice (but plenty of excessive secrecy and of flouting Freedom of Information laws), and by sceptics forecasting a whitewash [and we were right, too!].

The public’s reaction, however, has been much more surprising. Thanks to the free run enjoyed by the sceptics – through cowardice among scientists and green groups [wtf?]– it should have had a big impact. But new polls on both sides of the Atlantic suggest that, while acceptance of global warming has been falling, the much-hyped furore is not responsible.

An American poll found that only 9 per cent of the respondents thought that “Climategate” indicated that climate scientists are untrustworthy, about the same proportion as told a Scottish one that they had altered their opinions as a result of it. A survey for the BBC indicated that just a quarter of those who had heard of it had changed their views – and that most of these had become more convinced of global warming, not less. (source)

Yes, and I wonder why that percentage is so low? I guess its because the MSM, like The Telegraph, played the whole thing down in order to keep the global warming bandwagon rolling, so that very few of the public were even aware of its significance.

And as a final two fingered salute to the rest of us, UEA has reinstated Phil Jones. But as Gerald Warner, another Telegraph writer points out, the Jones brand is toxic, so such a move will harm climate science credibility even more (read here).

And Michael Mann has gone feral now that he’s been “cleared”, ranting on in a ten minute interview about being “exonerated”, despite the fact that the Hockey Stick is still completely broken and discredited, and railing against “professional climate change deniers”. Keep up the good work. You and Phil Jones are doing your cause more harm than we ever could. Read it here.

No ETS or carbon tax until at least 2013


Abbott is pulling the strings

Be thankful for small mercies, I guess. We have 2 1/2 years (at least) before a Labor government would consider introducing an ETS, and a carbon tax is off the menu. But the vested-interest green groups are desperate, needing continued climate alarmism to justify their own existence:

GREEN groups have demanded Labor introduce a carbon tax or ETS as Julia Gillard prepares to outline her plans to tackle climate change.

“We need to see the government commit to a detailed plan, which would see legislation introduced in the life of the next parliament to limit and put a price tag on pollution,” Climate Institute CEO John Connor said yesterday.

The Prime Minister specifically rejected a carbon tax on Wednesday night, telling ABC Television “the pricing of carbon I think is best done through a market-based mechanism –– that is the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme”.

But she confirmed her government would not move on the ETS during the life of the next parliament and instead stick to the timetable outlined by Kevin Rudd.

“I am holding to the decision that was announced by the government that we will review in 2012 the nature of the community consensus in Australia about the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme, the progress internationally on pricing carbon and combating climate change, and we’ll make a decision then about the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme,” Ms Gillard said.

And the only option for Labor is spelt out by Greg Hunt:

“Julia Gillard has become the second Labor prime minister in four months to postpone the promise of an ETS indefinitely,” he said. “The only place for her to go now is to adopt parts of the opposition’s direct-action approach.”

Tony Abbott is running the climate policy from the Opposition (like he’s running the asylum seekers policy).

Read it here.

CRU/UEA breached Freedom of Information rules


Eco-bullying won't work here

Impeccable timing! Released on the same day as Muir Russell’s almost-whitewash which cleared CRU of just about everything, a decision of the UK’s Information Commissioner has found in favour of David Holland against the University of East Anglia, for failing to provide access to documents requested under the Act. Isn’t that one of the things that Russell was supposed to be investigating?

46. The Commissioner’s decision is that the public authority [the University of East Anglia] did not deal with some of the requests in accordance with the requirements of the EIR [Environmental Information Regulations] in the following respects:

  • it failed to provide a refusal within 20 working days in respect of the request of 31 March 2008 and therefore breached regulation 14(2); and
  • it failed to provide responses in respect of the requests of 27 June and 31 July 2008 and therefore breached regulation 5(2).

And more importantly, the Commissioner notes:

The wider circumstances of this case, in particular the placement of a substantial number of emails allegedly from CRU onto the internet, has attracted considerable attention (November 2009). The emails suggested that some requests for information were considered an imposition, that attempts to circumvent the legislation were considered and that the ethos of openness and transparency the legislation seeks to promote were not universally accepted. This is of considerable concern to the Commissioner and in keeping with his duty to promote observance of the legislation he will now consider whether further action is appropriate to secure future compliance.

Read the decision here. (h/t WUWT)

Yet another Climategate whitewash


Whitewashing over the cracks

You wait ages, and then two climate whitewashes come along at once. A few days ago it was Penn State, sweeping Michael Mann under the carpet (so to speak), and now we have Muir Russell clearing the CRU lot of any wrongdoing as well. I guess that’s what happens when you only investigate one side of the story. And our own moonbat media lap it up. From the Sydney Morning Herald:

The email leak heightened challenges to the legitimacy of climate change science on the eve of the Copenhagen climate summit, prompting claims of data manipulation and suppression of inconvenient evidence and opposing views.

The Independent Climate Change Email Review, headed by former senior British public servant Sir Muir Russell, last night dismissed many of these accusations, finding no suggestion the world’s leading scientists had prejudiced the advice given to politicians.

”We conclude that the argument that [the unit] has something to hide does not stand up,” Sir Muir said at a London press conference. (source)

Gee, what a surprise. But with so much financial and emotional investment in the climate scam, what could we expect? So we have to look to the blogosphere to find the truth (as is so often the case these days). From Climate Depot:

Shameful Sham Climategate report urges ‘campaign to win hearts and minds’ to restore confidence in global warming science — ‘University of East Anglia’s enquiry into the conduct of its own staff at its Climatic Research — The most serious charge is poor communication — Sir Muir Russell even calls for ‘a concerted and sustained campaign to win hearts and minds’ to restore confidence in the team’s work’ (Full PDF report here.)

The Muir Russell Review gets basic IPCC info wrong! Pielke Jr.: ‘The idea that IPCC presents a ‘best estimate’ understanding based on views of a selected group of scientists is completely contrary to how IPCC characterizes its own work… ‘To suggest that the IPCC is “not to produce a review of the scientific literature” is just plain wrong’

Climate Audit’s McIntyre on Climategate report: It ‘adopted a unique inquiry process in which they interviewed only one side – CRU. As a result, report is heavily weighted towards CRU apologia’ — ‘…a not unexpected result given that the writing team came from Geoffrey Boulton’s Royal Society of Edinburgh. Remarkably, the Muir Russell inquiry ruled on this issue without actually citing IPCC procedures…Instead of examining IPCC rules, they asked John Mitchell, the Review Editor, for his opinion. Mitchell, needless to say, was a Climategate correspondent, who gave untruthful answers when refusing David Holland’s FOI request for materials’

Climate Audit’s McIntyre: ‘Muir Russell’s [climategate report] contains many gaffes and errors, which are going to get placed into the sunshine over the next few days, as critics get a chance to work through the report. It’s too bad that Muir Russell decided that it was a good idea not to interview critics during the preparation of the report’

More Errors: Muir Russell writes that Oxburgh inquiry looked at the science. Lord Oxburgh has specifically stated that his inquiry did not look at the science’ — ‘An inquiry that doesn’t look at the science cannot understand Climategate’ — ‘Nor did the Parliamentary sub-committee’s one day hearing. Nor did either of the Penn State investigations [look at the science].’ ‘But in terms of making this issue go away, which is the obvious goal of all these investigations, it failed to do what it was meant to do…without looking at the science, they didn’t look at Climategate’

Meteorologist Watts: Muir Russell Climategate report is ‘another apologist who doesn’t ask relevant questions of both sides, only one side’

‘The subjects of their criticism were not invited, nor were climate scientists critical of their behavior’ — Sham: ‘The report finds a criterion: a ‘consistence of view’ with earlier work. The earlier work here was produced the academics under scrutiny. So the academics were judged against their earlier work, and not surprisingly, found to be consistent’

Microsoft Made Climategate professors Do It!? ‘Calling people ‘frauds’, ‘fraudit’, ‘bozos’, ‘morons’ and so on. It was Microsoft’s fault’ — Muir Russell blamed email itself for the language: ‘Finding: The extreme modes of expression used in many e-mails are characteristic of the medium….Extreme forms of language are frequently applied to quite normal situations by people who would never use it in other communication channels’

Sir Muir appears to have spent untold amounts of public money only to miss at least two of the ‘five key leaked emails’ identified by Fred Pearce

‘What Climategate is largely about, then, is whether academics were justified in making Medieval Warm Period disappear. Unfortunately, none of the 3 ‘independent’ reviews have grappled with this’

Mockery for Climategate whitewash: ‘We’re shocked, shocked!’ ‘Utterly shocked – that anyone could have thought that the review might have found otherwise’

Climategate? Never heard of it. ‘Climategate’ professor Phil Jones gets his job back has cleared Prof Jones of dishonest behavior — ‘Skeptics claimed report was a whitewash and questioned the reinstatement of Prof Jones. David Holland, one of the leading skeptics on the blogosphere, pointed out that Prof Jones referred to deleting emails in one of his communications. ‘Would you trust a man who has asked to delete evidence?’ he said’

‘Climategate’ scientists were ‘unhelpful’ and not open about their studies, finds review — ‘Review found that the graph referred to in this now infamous email from the centre’s head, Professor Phil Jones, was ‘misleading’ because it did not make plain what the scientists had done’

Anthony Watts sums it up:

“The investigations thus far are much like having a trial with judge, jury, reporters, spectators, and defendant, but no plaintiff. The plaintiff is locked outside the courtroom sitting in the hall hollering and hoping the jury hears some of what he has to say. Is it any wonder the verdicts keep coming up ‘not guilty’?”

UPDATE: Fred Pearce, writing at The Guardian, argues that it’s not so much of a whitewash after all:

The report is far from being a whitewash. And nor does it justify the claim of university vice-chancellor Sir Edward Action that it is a “complete exoneration”. In particular it backs critics who see in the emails a widespread effort to suppress public knowledge about their activities and to sideline bloggers who want to access their data and do their own analysis.

Most seriously, it finds “evidence that emails might have been deleted in order to make them unavailable should a subsequent request be made for them [under Freedom of information law]”. Yet, extraordinarily, it emerged during questioning that Russell and his team never asked Jones or his colleagues whether they had actually done this.

Secrecy was the order of the day at CRU. “We find that there has been a consistent pattern of failing to display the proper degree of openness,” says the report. That criticism applied not just to Jones and his team at CRU. It applied equally to the university itself, which may have been embarrassed to find itself in the dock as much as the scientists on whom it asked Russell to sit in judgment.

The university “failed to recognise not only the significance of statutory requirements” – FOI law in particular – and “also the risk to the reputation of the university and indeed the credibility of UK climate science” from the affair. (source)

UN climate report "one-sided"


Biased from the start

Prize to The Australian for the most blindingly obvious headline of 2010 (so far). But what did anybody expect from the IPCC? It was founded in the late 1980s solely for the purpose of finding evidence to bolster a conclusion already reached by its founders – namely that human activity was dangerously warming the planet – and everyone is shocked when that’s exactly what they find! Its terms of reference refer to “human-caused warming” – not any other cause should even be considered, according to the IPCC. So the whole process was completely biased from the start:

THE UN body that advises governments on climate change failed to make clear how its landmark report on the impact of global warming often presented a worst-case scenario, an investigation has concluded.

A summary report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on regional impacts focused on the negative consequences of climate change and failed to make clear that there would also be some benefits of rising temperatures.

The report adopted a “one-sided” approach that risked being interpreted as an “alarmist view”.

For example, the IPCC had stated that 60 per cent of the Great Barrier Reef was projected to suffer regular bleaching by 2020 but had failed to make clear that this was the worst projected outcome and the impact might be far smaller.

The wording of a statement on between 3000 and 5000 more heat-related deaths a year in Australian cities had suggested that all of the projected increase would be the result of climate change, whereas most of it would be caused by the rising population and an increase in the number of elderly people.

The report, which underpinned the Copenhagen summit last December, wrongly suggested that climate change was the main reason communities faced severe water shortages and neglected to make clear that population growth was a much bigger factor. (source)

And with impeccable timing, and having clearly learnt nothing about the perception of climate science, The Guardian and AAP publish yet more alarmism, helpfully reprinted by the moonbat Age:

THE world is heading for an average temperature rise of nearly 4 degrees, according to a global analysis of national pledges. Such a rise would bring a high risk of major extinctions, threats to food supplies and the near-total collapse of the huge Greenland ice sheet.

More than 100 heads of state agreed in Copenhagen last December to limit the rise in global temperatures to 1.5 to 2 degrees above the long-term average before the industrial revolution, which started a huge global rise in greenhouse gases.

But after a concerted international effort to monitor the emission reduction targets of more than 60 countries, including all the major economies, the Climate Interactive Scoreboard now calculates that the world is on course for a rise of nearly double the stated goal by 2100. (source)

Where do you start? The stupidity of such comments beggars belief. Not only does it blindly assume that the planet’s climate has a single dial, marked “CO2”, which can be twiddled like a thermostat to determine the temperature in 90 years, but also it is based solely on incomplete, flaky computer models, which, even the IPCC admits, cannot predict anything. No wonder climate science has so little credibility, especially when journalists and politicians spin it so appallingly.

Moonbats of the Week: Blacktown City Council


Total waste of taxpayer money

More taxpayer funded tokenism in the Western Sydney suburb:

TWO sculptures, costing $150,000, of mythical Greek men wearing 8m-wide glowing wings will be built to warn residents about climate change.

Taxpayers will pay for the statues under the Federal Government program Solar Cities which is charged with raising awareness of sun power.

Solar panels on the back of the statues will capture energy that will light the wings at night in Blacktown Civic Plaza and Mount Druitt Town Square.

The sculptures, costing $75,000 each, are drawn from the ancient Greek myth of Icarus, who escapes prison but flies too close to the sun, which melts his wax wings leaving him to fall to his death.

The mythical figures of Icarus and his father Daedalus will represent “the power of the sun” and “serve as a warning to those who ignore the needs of the planet”, said a report going to Blacktown City Council tomorrow. [Well I guess the power of the sun is at the heart of climate change…]

“The underlying connection is that while Icarus gained his freedom, he did not listen to his father, with dire consequences. The analogy is future generations will also suffer serious consequences if sustainability programs are not put in place now,” it said.

$150k for that? There really is one born every minute.

Read it here.

Climategate was indeed a "game changer"


Nothing to see here

But hang on a minute – haven’t we just spent the past six months listening to scores of AGW-funded scientists try and sweep the whole Climategate debacle under the carpet? Wheeling out the “nothing to see here” line? What’s more amazing is that this piece is published in The Age, or “Pravda on the Yarra” as it is less than affectionately known (kind of the Aussie version of The Guardian). It appears that climate scientists are all of a sudden suffering pangs of remorse for all the hype and spin, and think that more openness and honesty is required. Well, bravo at last for that.

SENIOR climate scientists have conceded that their world has changed irrevocably – and for the better – in the wake of the so-called Climategate scandal.

As Sir Muir Russell, chairman of the inquiry into the leak of the University of East Anglia emails, finalises his report for publication in Britain tomorrow [which we can guarantee will be another paper-thin whitewash], scientists the world over agree the affair was a ”game changer”.

”The release of the emails was a turning point,” Mike Hulme, professor of climate change at the University of East Anglia, told The Guardian . ”The community has been brought up short by the row over their science. Already there is a new tone. Researchers are more upfront, open and explicit about their uncertainties.”

Bob Ward, policy director of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change at the London School of Economics, said researchers had to accept that the affair would not only result in their own science being judged but also their motives, professionalism, integrity and ”all those other qualities that are considered important in public life”.

Hans von Storch of the KGSS Research Centre in Geesthacht, Germany, told the newspaper that trust had been damaged by the affair:

“People now find it conceivable that scientists cheat and manipulate, and understand that scientists need societal supervision as any other societal institution,” he said.

Judith Curry, of the Georgia Institute of Technology, the scientist who has worked hard to try to reconcile warring factions, said the idea of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change scientists as ”self-appointed oracles, enhanced by the Nobel prize, is now in tatters”.

The outside world, she said, could now see that the science of climate was ”more complex and uncertain than they have been led to believe”.

Alle-freaking-luia. As I have said many times before, I have no axe to grind whether CO2 is causing climate change or not, but I do expect our governments to make decisions on the future of the planet based on impartial, unbiased science, not on quasi-religious, politically motivated dogma.

Read it here.